SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 54.52%. A draw has a probability of 23.6% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Progreso win it is 1-0 (6.44%).
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Nacional |
21.86% ( -0.76) | 23.62% ( -0.92) | 54.52% ( 1.68) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( 1.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% ( 2.95) | 48.06% ( -2.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.77% ( 2.65) | 70.23% ( -2.65) |
| Progreso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.63% ( 0.92) | 36.37% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.85% ( 0.92) | 73.15% ( -0.92) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.48% ( 1.75) | 17.52% ( -1.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.97% ( 2.96) | 48.03% ( -2.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Progreso | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.64) 2-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.86% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.81)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.74) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.68% ( 0.4)0-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.27)1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.3)0-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.24)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.65% Total : 54.51% |
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