SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw has a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cerro Largo has a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.42%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Cerro Largo win it is 1-0 (6.59%).
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Nacional |
18.25% ( -0.3) | 23.8% ( -0.07) | 57.95% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 46.46% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.75% ( -0.13) | 53.25% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% ( -0.11) | 74.8% ( 0.11) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.77% ( -0.44) | 43.22% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.52% ( -0.37) | 79.48% ( 0.36) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.83% ( 0.09) | 18.16% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.85% ( 0.15) | 49.14% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.75% Total : 18.25% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.8% | 0-1 @ 13.39% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 11.42% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.49% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.77% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 57.94% |
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