Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Defensor Sporting has a probability of 28.85% and a draw has a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win is 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.95%).
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
43.52% ( -0) | 27.63% | 28.85% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 47.01% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.64% ( 0.01) | 58.36% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.03% ( 0) | 78.97% ( -0) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.39% | 26.61% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.16% ( 0) | 61.83% |
Defensor Sporting Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.06% ( 0.01) | 35.94% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.28% ( 0.01) | 72.72% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
1-0 @ 12.66% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2% Total : 43.52% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 28.85% |
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