J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jul 1, 2023 at 10am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium
We said: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale
After a slip-up away in Tokyo last week, Nagoya will expect to get back to winning ways here and keep up their impressive home unbeaten record in the league.
Kawasaki have been tough to beat though, and should put up a good fight in what could be an intriguing encounter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.
| Result |
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
31.19% ( 0.38) | 26.84% ( -0.03) | 41.98% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 50.4% ( 0.26) |
| 45.45% ( 0.25) | 54.55% ( -0.25) |
| 24.1% ( 0.21) | 75.9% ( -0.21) |
| 67.8% ( 0.41) | 32.2% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.32% ( 0.46) | 68.68% ( -0.45) |
| 74.33% ( -0.07) | 25.67% ( 0.07) |
