Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
22.13% ( 0.02) | 25.38% ( 0.13) | 52.48% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 47.6% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.28% ( -0.47) | 54.71% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.96% ( -0.39) | 76.03% ( 0.39) |
Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.15% ( -0.24) | 39.85% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.48% ( -0.23) | 76.51% ( 0.23) |
Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.13% ( -0.25) | 20.86% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.43% ( -0.4) | 53.56% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 22.13% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 10.21% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.34% Total : 52.48% |
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