As Roma are in disarray, it might take Claudio Ranieri some time to turn things around; meanwhile, Napoli are already a well-oiled machine.
After letting the chasing pack close within striking distance of top spot, the Partenopei should be ready to go again, resuming normal service with another home win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Roma had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Napoli in this match.
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