Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
42.27% (![]() | 24.22% (![]() | 33.51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.45% (![]() | 42.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.05% (![]() | 64.95% (![]() |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.7% (![]() | 20.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.33% (![]() | 52.67% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.22% (![]() | 24.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.65% (![]() | 59.35% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 8.92% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.4% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.74% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 2.92% Total : 42.27% | 1-1 @ 11.19% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 7.81% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.51% |
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