SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
42.27% ( -0.17) | 24.22% ( 0.06) | 33.51% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 59.95% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.45% ( -0.24) | 42.55% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( -0.24) | 64.95% ( 0.25) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( -0.18) | 20.3% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.33% ( -0.29) | 52.67% ( 0.29) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% ( -0.05) | 24.78% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.65% ( -0.07) | 59.35% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 42.27% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.51% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
