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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
40.59% ( 0.14) | 24.6% ( -0.03) | 34.81% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.93% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.97% ( 0.13) | 44.03% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.59% ( 0.13) | 66.41% ( -0.12) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% ( 0.13) | 21.71% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.13% ( 0.19) | 54.87% ( -0.19) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( -0) | 24.73% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.72% ( -0.01) | 59.28% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.59% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.81% |
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