Columbus Crew have won each of their last three MLS home games, scoring nine goals in the process, and they will be hoping to take advantage of Nashville's minor wobble last time out.
However, the visitors will have belief in their abilities to bounce back having won their last two meetings with the Crew, and the fine form of star man Mukhtar could help them come out on top in Ohio.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
0.93) 
-0.23) 
