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Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
IM

Nashville
1 - 2
Inter Miami

Williams (73' pen.)
Williams (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Fray (40'), Alba (44')
Bright (31')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 1-0 NY City
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 2-1 Inter Miami

The Herons have shown they have plenty of attacking depth, but against a side like Nashville, which have rediscovered their defensive game, we believe they will struggle to find that moment of magic that Messi and Suarez can provide. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SCDrawInter Miami
52.8% (-0.112 -0.11) 22.66% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 24.53% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 59.01% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.01% (0.035000000000004 0.04)40.98% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.62% (0.036000000000001 0.04)63.37% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.43% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)15.57% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.47% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)44.52% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (0.093999999999994 0.09)30.11% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (0.116 0.12)66.25% (-0.117 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 52.8%
    Inter Miami 24.53%
    Draw 22.66%
Nashville SCDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 52.8%
1-1 @ 10.46%
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.69% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 6.28% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.38% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 24.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nashville 1-0 NY City
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Nashville
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 New England
Sunday, June 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-2 Nashville
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-3 St Louis City
Sunday, June 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Atlanta
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-0 DC United
Sunday, May 19 at 1.05am in Major League Soccer


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