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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 56.13%. A win for DC United had a probability of 22.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | DC United |
56.13% ( -6.7) | 21.52% ( 2.38) | 22.34% ( 4.31) |
| Both teams to score 60.27% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.93% ( -5.05) | 38.06% ( 5.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.66% ( -5.59) | 60.33% ( 5.58) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.5% ( -3.4) | 13.49% ( 3.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.48% ( -7.26) | 40.51% ( 7.25) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.67% ( 1.11) | 30.32% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.49% ( 1.31) | 66.5% ( -1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | DC United |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.14)1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.91)3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.84)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.9)3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.37)4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.95)4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.91)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.49)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.63)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.58)Other @ 3.63% Total : 56.13% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 1.35) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.92)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.96) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 1.21)0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.79)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.44)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.34)Other @ 2.91% Total : 22.34% |
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