SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Nashville SC |
57.33% ( 0.08) | 24.39% ( -0.05) | 18.28% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.89% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.62% ( 0.12) | 55.37% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.42% ( 0.1) | 76.58% ( -0.1) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( 0.08) | 19.19% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.12% ( 0.13) | 50.88% ( -0.13) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.56% ( 0.03) | 44.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.52% ( 0.02) | 80.49% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 14.08% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.75% Total : 57.33% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 18.28% |
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