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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | St Louis City |
64.81% ( -2.56) | 18.57% ( 1.01) | 16.62% ( 1.55) |
| Both teams to score 60.71% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.14% ( -1.76) | 32.86% ( 1.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.44% ( -2.06) | 54.56% ( 2.06) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.42% ( -1.05) | 9.58% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.95% ( -2.53) | 32.05% ( 2.53) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( 0.69) | 32.85% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% ( 0.76) | 69.42% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.24)1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.34)3-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.35)4-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.36)3-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.41)4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.28)5-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.29)5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.13)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.79% Total : 64.81% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.19)0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.57% | 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.37) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.38)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.91% Total : 16.62% |
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