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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.86%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Inter Miami |
54.86% ( -0.09) | 21.31% ( 0.18) | 23.83% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 63.06% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.71% ( -1.03) | 35.29% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.69% ( -1.15) | 57.31% ( 1.14) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.05% ( -0.37) | 12.95% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.58% ( -0.75) | 39.42% ( 0.75) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( -0.64) | 27.56% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.92% ( -0.83) | 63.08% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.18)1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.86% | 1-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3.67% Total : 23.83% |
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