SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nashville SC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | New York City FC |
53.02% ( 1.62) | 23.78% ( -0.88) | 23.19% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 53.7% ( 1.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.71% ( 2.95) | 47.28% ( -2.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.49% ( 2.68) | 69.51% ( -2.68) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.22% ( 1.75) | 17.78% ( -1.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.51% ( 2.95) | 48.49% ( -2.94) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.31% ( 0.96) | 34.69% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.58% ( 1) | 71.41% ( -1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.72) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.39)3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.29)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.57% Total : 53.02% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.8)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.65) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.09% Total : 23.19% |
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