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Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Velodrome

N Zealand U23s
0 - 3
France U23s

FT(HT: 0-1)
Mateta (19'), Doue (71'), Kalimuendo (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: N.Zealand U23s 1-4 USA U23s
Saturday, July 27 at 6pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
All competitions
Last Game: France U23s 1-0 Guinea U23s
Saturday, July 27 at 8pm in Olympic Games Men's Football

We said: New Zealand 0-3 France

New Zealand will need to be at their best on Monday as they go up against host nation France who have flown out of the blocks. Given the gulf in quality and depth between the two sides, we predict Henry's side will come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand Under-23s win with a probability of 81.74%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for France Under-23s had a probability of 7.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand Under-23s win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.27%) and 4-1 (6.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a France Under-23s win it was 1-2 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for France Under-23s in this match.

Result
New Zealand Under-23sDrawFrance Under-23s
81.74% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 10.63% (0.037000000000001 0.04) 7.63% (0.0519 0.05)
Both teams to score 64.31% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
83.52%16.48% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
67.1% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)32.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
New Zealand Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.95% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)3.05% (0.0101 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.32% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)13.68% (0.038 0.04)
France Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (0.104 0.1)33.67% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (0.111 0.11)70.32% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    New Zealand Under-23s 81.74%
    France Under-23s 7.63%
    Draw 10.63%
New Zealand Under-23sDrawFrance Under-23s
3-1 @ 7.92% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 7.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 6.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 6.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-1 @ 4.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-0 @ 4.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.31% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 3.76% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-1 @ 2.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-2 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
6-0 @ 2.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-2 @ 1.53%
7-1 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1.37% (0.006 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-3 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 4.77%
Total : 81.74%
1-1 @ 3.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.7% (0.015 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 10.63%
1-2 @ 2.12% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 1.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 7.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: N.Zealand U23s 1-4 USA U23s
Saturday, July 27 at 6pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: Guinea U23s 1-2 N.Zealand U23s
Wednesday, July 24 at 4pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: Japan U23s 0-0 N.Zealand U23s (4-2 pen.)
Saturday, July 31 at 10am in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: Romania U23s 0-0 N.Zealand U23s
Wednesday, July 28 at 9.30am in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: N.Zealand U23s 2-3 Honduras U23s
Sunday, July 25 at 9am in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: N.Zealand U23s 1-0 South Korea U23s
Thursday, July 22 at 9am in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: France U23s 1-0 Guinea U23s
Saturday, July 27 at 8pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: France U23s 3-0 USA U23s
Wednesday, July 24 at 8pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: France U23s 0-4 Japan U23s
Wednesday, July 28 at 12.30pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: France U23s 4-3 South Africa U23s
Sunday, July 25 at 9am in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: Mexico U23s 4-1 France U23s
Thursday, July 22 at 9am in Olympic Games Men's Football


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