SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 35.62%. A win for Tunisia had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Tunisia win was 0-1 (12.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New Zealand | Draw | Tunisia |
35.62% ( -0.12) | 29.36% ( -0.03) | 35.01% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 43.85% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.94% ( 0.09) | 63.05% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.49% ( 0.06) | 82.5% ( -0.07) |
| New Zealand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.42% ( -0.03) | 33.57% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.78% ( -0.03) | 70.22% ( 0.03) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.02% ( 0.14) | 33.98% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.34% ( 0.15) | 70.66% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| New Zealand | Draw | Tunisia |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.36% | 0-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.01% |
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