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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
32.22% ( 0.16) | 22.31% ( -0.02) | 45.47% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 66.52% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.27% ( 0.18) | 33.73% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.44% ( 0.2) | 55.56% ( -0.2) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% ( 0.17) | 21.31% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.75% ( 0.27) | 54.25% ( -0.27) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% ( 0.02) | 15.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.67% ( 0.04) | 44.33% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.65% Total : 32.22% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.31% | 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.47% |
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