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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Newry City AFC
1 - 1
Ballymena

Salley (76')
Bagnall (56'), Forde (69'), Poynton (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stewart (73')
Rocks (40')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 3-0 Newry City AFC
Friday, January 26 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Loughgall
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Newry City AFCDrawBallymena United
33.06% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 25.76% (0.0030000000000001 0) 41.17% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.36% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)49.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.34% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)71.66% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)28.47% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)64.24% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (0.0049999999999955 0)23.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)58.07% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Newry City AFC 33.06%
    Ballymena United 41.17%
    Draw 25.76%
Newry City AFCDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 8.54%
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.06%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 9.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.97% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 41.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Larne 3-0 Newry City AFC
Friday, January 26 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-2 Cliftonville
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 5-0 Newry City AFC
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-4 Glenavon
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-1 Carrick
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 1-0 Newry City AFC
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Loughgall
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 3-0 Ballymena
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 2-4 Dungannon
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 0-1 Ballymena
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 3-1 Coleraine
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 2-0 Ballymena
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership


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