SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Nice had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Nice win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
28.94% ( -0.1) | 23.2% ( -0.02) | 47.86% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 61.21% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.12% ( 0.04) | 39.89% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.75% ( 0.04) | 62.25% ( -0.04) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% ( -0.04) | 26.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.55% ( -0.06) | 61.45% ( 0.06) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( 0.06) | 16.94% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.99% ( 0.1) | 47.01% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 28.94% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.2% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.17% Total : 47.86% |
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