SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 1-0 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NK Istra 1961 | Draw | Osijek |
23.81% ( -0.21) | 24.9% ( 0.08) | 51.29% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.91% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% ( -0.51) | 51.31% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% ( -0.44) | 73.14% ( 0.45) |
| NK Istra 1961 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.64% ( -0.46) | 36.36% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.86% ( -0.47) | 73.14% ( 0.48) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% ( -0.15) | 20% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.81% ( -0.24) | 52.19% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Istra 1961 | Draw | Osijek |
| 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.84% Total : 23.81% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.11% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 51.29% |
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