The hosts have been strong at home in recent games, and it would not be surprising if they won once again.
Belarus have also been poor away from home, and it is difficult to see how they achieve a positive result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 12.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.2%) and 3-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.14%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northern Ireland would win this match.
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