Nations League | League C

Nov 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Windsor Park

N. Ireland
2 - 0
Belarus

Ballard (50'), Charles (63' pen.)
Brown (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pechenin (59'), Gromyko (68'), Antsilevski (76')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Northern Ireland and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northern Ireland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: N. Ireland 5-0 Bulgaria
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

Belarus

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Belarus 1-1 Luxembourg
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

We said: Northern Ireland 2-1 Belarus

The hosts have been strong at home in recent games, and it would not be surprising if they won once again. Belarus have also been poor away from home, and it is difficult to see how they achieve a positive result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 12.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.2%) and 3-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.14%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northern Ireland would win this match.

Result
Northern Ireland	Draw	Belarus
63.38% ( -0.03)	24.56% ( -0.01)	12.06% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 32.5% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.26% (

0.1)

64.74% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.29% (

0.07)

83.71% (

-0.07)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.44% (

0.03)

20.55% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.92% (

0.05)

53.07% (

-0.05)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.91% (

0.14)

59.09% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.82% (

0.07)

90.18% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Northern Ireland 63.37%

Belarus 12.06%

Draw 24.55%

Northern Ireland	Draw	Belarus
1-0 @ 19.21% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 15.2% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.78% Total : 63.37%	0-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.05) 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.55%	0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.33% Total : 12.06%