Nations League | League C

Oct 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

ZTE-Arena

Belarus
1 - 1
Luxembourg

Palitsevich (54')
Alos (24'), Barkovskiy (63'), Bocherov (90+5'), Bocherov (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodrigues (78' pen.)
Sinani (23'), D'Anzico (30'), Korac (53'), Rodrigues (64'), Olesen (75'), Schon (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Belarus and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Belarus 0-0 N. Ireland
Saturday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

Luxembourg

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Bulgaria 0-0 Luxembourg
Saturday, October 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

We said: Belarus 1-1 Luxembourg

A low-scoring encounter is surely in store, as the two teams have managed just one goal between them at the midpoint of their Group 3 campaigns. Luxembourg are lacking confidence in the final third, while Belarus can be tough to break down, so the points will be shared at a near-empty ZTE Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 42.11%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 27.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Belarus	Draw	Luxembourg
42.11% ( -1.5)	30.21% ( -0.15)	27.67% ( 1.65)

Both teams to score 39.83% (

1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33% (

1.04)

66.99% (

-1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.74% (

0.69)

85.26% (

-0.69)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.38% (

-0.32)

31.62% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.97% (

-0.37)

68.02% (

0.37)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.24% (

2.07)

41.75% (

-2.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.78% (

1.76)

78.22% (

-1.76)

Score Analysis

Belarus 42.11%

Luxembourg 27.67%

Draw 30.21%

Belarus	Draw	Luxembourg
1-0 @ 15.2% ( -0.73) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.11%	1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 13.2% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.21%	0-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.19% Total : 27.67%