SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 | Belarus | 10 | -5 | 12 |
| 5 | Kosovo | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Andorra | 10 | -17 | 2 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 41.05%. A draw has a probability of 30.2% and a win for Belarus has a probability of 28.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.44%) and 1-2 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Belarus win it is 1-0 (11.74%).
| Result | ||
| Belarus | Draw | Northern Ireland |
28.72% ( -1.49) | 30.23% ( -0.1) | 41.05% ( 1.59) |
| Both teams to score 40.25% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.28% ( -0.08) | 66.72% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.92% ( -0.06) | 85.08% ( 0.06) |
| Belarus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.28% ( -1.25) | 40.71% ( 1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.7% ( -1.15) | 77.3% ( 1.15) |
| Northern Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.9% ( 0.92) | 32.1% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.42% ( 1.03) | 68.57% ( -1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belarus | Draw | Northern Ireland |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 6% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.3% Total : 28.71% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 13.06% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.22% | 0-1 @ 14.85% ( 0.42) 0-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.44)1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.05% |
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