SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 0-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Liverpool |
19.31% ( -0.11) | 20.82% ( -0.05) | 59.87% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 57.89% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.01% ( 0.08) | 38.99% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.69% ( 0.09) | 61.31% ( -0.08) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.3% ( -0.06) | 33.7% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.64% ( -0.07) | 70.35% ( 0.07) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.32% ( 0.08) | 12.68% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.13% ( 0.16) | 38.87% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 19.31% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.82% | 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.82% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 6.27% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.75% Total : 59.87% |
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