Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
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