Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
-0.85) 
0.03) 
