SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Manchester United |
29.06% ( -0.85) | 24.95% ( 0.03) | 45.99% ( 0.82) |
| Both teams to score 55.27% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.27% ( -0.56) | 47.73% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% ( -0.52) | 69.92% ( 0.53) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.79% ( -0.89) | 30.21% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.63% ( -1.08) | 66.37% ( 1.08) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( 0.13) | 20.8% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.54% ( 0.2) | 53.46% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Manchester United |
| 1-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.14% Total : 29.06% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.99% |
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