Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 12.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester United in this match.
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
68.38% ( 0.77) | 18.97% ( -0.3) | 12.64% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 48.46% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.34% ( 0.21) | 43.66% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.95% ( 0.2) | 66.05% ( -0.21) |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.28% ( 0.27) | 11.71% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.17% ( 0.58) | 36.82% ( -0.58) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.89% ( -0.62) | 45.1% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.98% ( -0.5) | 81.01% ( 0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
2-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.46% Total : 68.37% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.81% Total : 18.97% | 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.2% Total : 12.64% |
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