SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 73.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 9.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 3-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
73.79% ( 0.38) | 16.59% ( -0.22) | 9.62% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 46.07% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.81% ( 0.55) | 41.19% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.41% ( 0.56) | 63.59% ( -0.56) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.34% ( 0.24) | 9.66% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.77% ( 0.55) | 32.23% ( -0.55) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.99% ( 0.04) | 49.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.04% ( 0.03) | 83.96% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.38% Total : 73.77% | 1-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 16.59% | 0-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 9.62% |
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