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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford
NF

Man Utd
3 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Rashford (19'), Martial (23'), Fred (87')
Malacia (27'), Eriksen (74'), Eriksen (74'), Garnacho (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mangala (29')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 73.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 9.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 3-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
73.79% (0.384 0.38) 16.59% (-0.225 -0.22) 9.62% (-0.156 -0.16)
Both teams to score 46.07% (0.158 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.81% (0.552 0.55)41.19% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.41% (0.559 0.56)63.59% (-0.555 -0.56)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.34% (0.239 0.24)9.66% (-0.235 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.77% (0.54900000000001 0.55)32.23% (-0.545 -0.55)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.99% (0.042000000000002 0.04)49.01% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.04% (0.030000000000001 0.03)83.96% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 73.77%
    Nottingham Forest 9.62%
    Draw 16.59%
Manchester UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
2-0 @ 12.92% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 11.06% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 10.07% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.19% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 5.89% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 4.2% (0.073 0.07)
5-0 @ 2.75% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.96% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.027 0.03)
6-0 @ 1.07% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 73.77%
1-1 @ 7.89% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 16.59%
0-1 @ 3.38% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-2 @ 2.81% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 9.62%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Burnley
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Betis 1-0 Man Utd
Saturday, December 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cadiz 4-2 Man Utd
Wednesday, December 7 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Fulham 1-2 Man Utd
Sunday, November 13 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 4-2 Aston Villa
Thursday, November 10 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Man Utd
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Blackburn 1-4 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 16 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Olympiacos 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, December 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Atromitos 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, December 6 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League


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