Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
