SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 8-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Jahn Regensburg |
45.68% ( 0.07) | 24.16% ( 0.01) | 30.16% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.63% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.37% ( -0.09) | 43.63% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.98% ( -0.09) | 66.02% ( 0.09) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.73% ( -0) | 19.27% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49% ( -0.01) | 51% ( 0) |
| Jahn Regensburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( -0.1) | 27.38% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% ( -0.13) | 62.85% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Jahn Regensburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 45.68% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.16% |
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