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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Chesterfield |
28.94% ( -0.06) | 24.31% ( 0) | 46.74% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( -0.06) | 45% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.64% ( -0.06) | 67.36% ( 0.06) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( -0.07) | 28.91% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.22% ( -0.09) | 64.78% ( 0.09) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.63% ( -0) | 19.37% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.83% ( -0) | 51.17% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 28.94% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 46.74% |
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