SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
49.44% ( 0.13) | 24.67% ( -0.02) | 25.89% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.7% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.35% ( -0.02) | 48.65% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% ( -0.02) | 70.76% ( 0.02) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( 0.05) | 19.71% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.28% ( 0.07) | 51.72% ( -0.07) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% ( -0.1) | 33.12% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.28% ( -0.11) | 69.72% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 49.44% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 25.89% |
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