SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Southend United |
34.17% ( -0.09) | 25.7% ( -0) | 40.13% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.94% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.86% ( -0.01) | 49.13% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.79% ( -0) | 71.2% ( 0.01) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( -0.06) | 27.53% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% ( -0.07) | 63.04% ( 0.07) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.81% ( 0.04) | 24.19% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% ( 0.06) | 58.51% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.17% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.13% |
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