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Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
F

Olympiacos
1 - 0
Ferencvaros

El Kaabi (83')
Alexandropoulos (51'), Carmo (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Makreckis (37'), Wingo (77'), Stankovic (86'), Ali Ben Romdhane (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Olympiacos 4-0 OFI Crete
Saturday, February 10 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Debrecen 1-2 Ferencvaros
Saturday, February 10 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I

We said: Olympiacos 2-1 Ferencvaros

With Olympiacos without a permanent manager, Ferencvaros will sense an opportunity to cause a surprise in Greece. Nevertheless, this remains a quality side on the back of their January transfer business, leading us to predict a hard-earned home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 52.78%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
OlympiacosDrawFerencvaros
52.78% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 22.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 24.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.99% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)42.01% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.59% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)64.41% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)15.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)45.22% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)30.8% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)67.07% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 52.78%
    Ferencvaros 24.37%
    Draw 22.84%
OlympiacosDrawFerencvaros
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.74%
4-0 @ 2.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 52.78%
1-1 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 5.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 24.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Olympiacos 4-0 OFI Crete
Saturday, February 10 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-0 Olympiacos
Sunday, February 4 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Olympiacos 3-1 PAS Giannina
Sunday, January 28 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Aris 1-2 Olympiacos
Sunday, January 21 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Kifisia 2-3 Olympiacos
Sunday, January 14 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Olympiacos 1-2 AEK Athens
Sunday, January 7 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Debrecen 1-2 Ferencvaros
Saturday, February 10 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Ferencvaros 5-1 MTK
Tuesday, February 6 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Varda SE 1-3 Ferencvaros
Saturday, February 3 at 2pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Ferencvaros 3-0 Zalaegerszegi TE
Sunday, December 17 at 3pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Paksi SE 3-2 Ferencvaros
Sunday, December 10 at 5pm in Hungarian NB I


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