Despite entering this fixture on a four-match winless run against Charlotte, Orlando's five-game undefeated sequence on home turf (four wins) means the hosts are backed to beat Smith's team.
Although the away side have a knack for scoring on their travels, underscored by finding the net in nine of their last 10 road matches, they could fall to back-to-back away losses against an in-form opponent.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 19.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
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