Orlando won this fixture home and away last season, and we think they will extend Charlotte's miserable start to the new campaign when the sides meet on Saturday.
The Lions have been excellent defensively, and we do not think Charlotte have the attacking firepower to trouble the hosts.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 24.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.