Girona are flying at the moment, but they are sure to hit a rough patch at some stage of the season, and this has the potential to be a tricky match despite Osasuna's problems this season. Girona are certainly good enough to win this, but we just have a feeling that a tight match could end all square.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
-2.82) 
2.96) 
