SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 65.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 15.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pachuca | Draw | Mazatlan |
65.31% ( 1.54) | 18.91% ( -0.39) | 15.78% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.71% ( -0.4) | 36.29% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.59% ( -0.44) | 58.41% ( 0.44) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.58% ( 0.27) | 10.42% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.02% ( 0.61) | 33.98% ( -0.61) |
| Mazatlan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.99% ( -1.61) | 36.01% ( 1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.21% ( -1.68) | 72.79% ( 1.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pachuca | Draw | Mazatlan |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.4)1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.38)4-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.14)5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.93% Total : 65.31% | 1-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.23)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.91% | 1-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.35% Total : 15.78% |
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