SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Palestino | Draw | Bolivar |
42.39% ( -1.17) | 24.1% ( 0.11) | 33.51% ( 1.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.38% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.01% ( -0.15) | 41.99% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.6% ( -0.15) | 64.39% ( 0.15) |
| Palestino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( -0.57) | 20.02% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.78% ( -0.93) | 52.22% ( 0.93) |
| Bolivar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( 0.55) | 24.51% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.03% ( 0.77) | 58.97% ( -0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palestino | Draw | Bolivar |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.02% Total : 42.39% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.51% |
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