Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 26, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palestino and Millonarios.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Millonarios had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Millonarios win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palestino would win this match.
| Result |
| Palestino | Draw | Millonarios |
38.49% ( 0.05) | 27.41% ( -0.02) | 34.09% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.43% ( 0.05) |
| 43.85% ( 0.06) | 56.15% ( -0.05) |
| 22.79% ( 0.05) | 77.21% ( -0.05) |
| 71.67% ( 0.06) | 28.33% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.94% ( 0.07) | 64.06% ( -0.07) |
| 68.97% ( 0.01) | 31.03% ( -0.01) |
