Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 64.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 14.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
0.03) 
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