Palmeiras have made the race for first in the league a lot more interesting with a pair of slip-ups, but knowing there is little room for error should make them tighten up defensively and not be as passive in the attack.
Cuiaba have done well to climb out from near the bottom of the standings, although they have not shown an ability to maintain much pressure in the final third, and defending a team with the quality of Palestra will not be as easy as their previous two opponents.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 74.74%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 8.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.31%) and 3-0 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
0.13) 
-0.05) 
