Palmeiras might not have won a match at home yet this season, but they will likely see this as the perfect opportunity to change that. The hosts have been in confident form lately, while the visitors have yet to get going this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Palmeiras in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Vasco da Gama
60.14%	22.73% ( 0)	17.12% ( 0)

Both teams to score 47.5% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.25% (

-0)

50.75% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.35% (

-0)

72.65% (

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.51% (

-0)

16.49% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.79% (

-0)

46.21% (

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.88% (

43.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.61%

79.39% (

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 60.14%

Vasco da Gama 17.12%

Draw 22.73%

Palmeiras	Draw	Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 12.81% 2-0 @ 11.55% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.84% 4-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.46% 5-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 1.11% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.89% Total : 60.14%	1-1 @ 10.78% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.73%	0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.53% 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.68% Total : 17.12%