SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panama | Draw | Mexico |
38.58% ( 0.76) | 27.29% ( 0.13) | 34.12% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 49.8% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.31% ( -0.59) | 55.69% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.16% ( -0.49) | 76.84% ( 0.49) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( 0.16) | 28.05% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.29% ( 0.2) | 63.71% ( -0.19) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( -0.87) | 30.78% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.95% ( -1.03) | 67.05% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panama | Draw | Mexico |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.57% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 6% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.12% |
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