SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Honduras | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Ghana |
51.91% ( 0.01) | 25.42% ( -0.01) | 22.68% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 48.14% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.66% ( 0.04) | 54.34% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.28% ( 0.03) | 75.72% ( -0.03) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( 0.02) | 20.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.3% ( 0.03) | 53.71% ( -0.03) |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.9% ( 0.02) | 39.11% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.18% ( 0.02) | 75.82% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Ghana |
| 1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 51.89% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 22.68% |
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