SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 48.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
48.65% ( 0.15) | 26.09% ( -0.04) | 25.26% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.85% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.27% ( 0.09) | 54.73% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.95% ( 0.07) | 76.05% ( -0.07) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% ( 0.1) | 22.52% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% ( 0.16) | 56.09% ( -0.16) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% ( -0.05) | 36.94% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% ( -0.05) | 73.73% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 48.65% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 25.26% |
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