PAOK certainly have the quality to run their visitors close and challenge the two-goal deficit on Thursday, but Dinamo Zagreb showed themselves to be resilient against difficult opposition when they got past Real Betis, and we fancy them to make their lead count and scrape through to the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOK	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
44.27% ( -0.02)	24.43% ( -0)	31.3% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 58.29% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.67% (

0.03)

44.33% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.29% (

0.02)

66.71% (

-0.02)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.84% (

20.16% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.56% (

-0)

52.44% (

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01% (

0.03)

26.99% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.66% (

0.04)

62.34% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

PAOK 44.27%

Dinamo Zagreb 31.3%

Draw 24.43%

PAOK	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.92% Total : 44.27%	1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.3%