Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Pau had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
0.5) 
-0.1) 
